Zee Leisure Shares: After Zee Inventory Soar, D-Avenue Waits To See If CEO Goenka Will get The Boot


Hypothesis on Dalal Avenue on Wednesday centered on whether or not MD and CEO Puneet Goenka would now be ousted from the corporate after Zee Leisure shares rose 40 per cent on Wednesday.

A lot of Tuesday’s investor enthusiasm constructed round a attainable clean-up of the enterprise after the corporate’s greatest investor, Invesco Oppenheimer, pressed for the elimination of Goenka, the eldest son of firm founder Subhash Chandra Goenka.

Even veteran investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala wager massive on progress by shopping for round 50 lakh shares by his funding agency Uncommon Enterprises.

ZEE traders have weathered a number of storms over the previous three years, the most recent adversarial growth being allegations of recent company governance points on the firm.

The corporate’s promoters had earlier admitted to creating strategic errors by investing in unrelated companies and had given up a majority of their stake in India’s main media home to attempt to cut back an enormous debt pile-up that crippled the enterprise. was doing.

, Again to advice tales



There have been additionally allegations in regards to the group’s dealings with an organization that had prior to now been on the radar of funding companies for severe fraud, which the Zee Group has vehemently denied.

Tuesday’s massive rally introduced much-needed aid for ZEE minority traders. On the firm’s AGM on Tuesday, one shareholder didn’t conceal his pleasure over the wind of change and mentioned the inventory market’s response to the developments was ‘telling’.

However the query is whether or not this may exclude Goenka, and if Invesco – being the most important shareholder – is profitable in its bid, will it finish the inventory’s distress. Shares of ZEE are nonetheless down 55 per cent from their unhealthy days in 2018!

Edelweiss analysts Abneesh Roy and Amritsai Sista wrote in a word, “With the promoter holding simply 3.99 per cent and the inventory getting exhausted, the board is only a matter of time to recuperate.”

new set off
The most recent turmoil got here after the corporate’s largest shareholder sought the elimination of Goenka and two different board members. The disclosures issued to the BSE didn’t clarify why.

Proxy advisory agency Institutional Investor Advisory Companies (IIAS) has requested shareholders to vote towards reappointment of two administrators Manish Chokhani and Ashok Kurian, elevating considerations of company governance within the firm.

IIAS alleged that Kurien and Chokhani, who have been on the Nomination and Remuneration Committee (NRC), have been liable for a 46 per cent enhance in Goenka’s remuneration for FY2011, which was increased than what was authorised by the shareholders on the 2020 AGM. was.

IIAS mentioned Kurien was a co-founder and was subsequently labeled as a non-promoter, with out looking for any regulatory filings or shareholders’ approval. Each Kurien and Chokhani have since resigned.

“It is a state of affairs the place data comes too late to the individuals. Wanting on the timing of the resignations, it’s onerous to imagine that each weren’t prepared to increase their phrases. Therefore the time of Invesco’s discover and resignation is not any coincidence. No. It is simple that each did not need to face slander on the EGM,” mentioned JN Gupta, founder and MD, proxy advisory agency SES.

All eyes are actually on Goenka.

weakening of grip
Goenka’s grip on the media agency has loosened since Subhash Chandra’s Essel Group first introduced plans to promote its 41.6 per cent stake within the firm in November 2018. By then, 59 per cent of the promoter’s stake had been pledged; 17 % was weightless.

In an open letter dated January 25, 2019, earlier than the corporate’s hunt for a strategic investor, Chandra admitted to creating strategic errors within the unrelated infrastructure enterprise, which led to debt will increase and share pledges at promoter ranges.

The approval for deposit of Rs 11,000 crore debt was sufficient to spoil the inventory’s prospects. Studies of Essel Group’s alleged offers with Nityank Infrapower and Multiventures, an organization probed by the Critical Fraud Investigation Workplace (SFIO), solely added to the disaster.

Later that 12 months, the Essel Group offered an 8.7 % stake to Invesco Oppenheimer. Chandra offered one other 16.5 % stake within the agency in the identical 12 months earlier than stepping down as chairman of the corporate, which he based in 1992.

This August, Chandra claimed that just about 91 % of the loans of 43 lenders had been repaid. However it got here at the price of his majority stake in Crown Jewel.

what’s subsequent?
Analysts mentioned the Zee board now must conduct an EGM inside 21 days of receipt of demand. In any other case, the traders themselves can name the EGM in 45 days.

Edelweiss mentioned, “We additionally perceive {that a} easy majority could also be enough to approve these proposals on the EGM. We await additional readability. Within the meantime, all eyes are on whether or not Goenka is the CEO. stay in type or the management modifications.”

Gupta mentioned retail traders don’t have any position within the EGM and it’s normally the entities that vote. “The probabilities of success (of the transfer to take away MD and CEO) are excessive,” he mentioned.

Gupta, nevertheless, mentioned that Chandra’s household is a bit totally different from others. He mentioned, whereas he has no comfortable corners for them, he appreciates the truth that the household did the whole lot they may, promoting their fortunes to do away with debt and clear up the corporate. .

He mentioned, “I agree that governance is unhealthy. However the query is whether or not the corporate can be doing badly. As proxy advisors, we do not have the area experience and we won’t remark. Buyers know higher.” ”

Earn and Goenka
ZEEL’s revenue jumped seven occasions to Rs 213.80 crore within the June quarter, from Rs 30.40 crore a 12 months in the past. Nevertheless, the numbers have been under market expectations, because the second wave of Covid-19 hit the restoration. Because of Covid, the media agency’s promoting income fell to Rs 3,748 crore in FY11 from Rs 4,681 crore in FY10.

However throughout the identical interval, subscription income elevated to Rs 3,243 crore from Rs 2,887 crore in FY15. General, ZEE gross sales fell 4.9 per cent in the course of the Covid-hit FY21, whilst revenue jumped 51.2 per cent from FY15 low of Rs 524 crore. Over the previous 5 years, the corporate has managed to scale back its debt whereas growing its web price.

The cumulative shareholder payout of ZEE throughout FY 2015-21 was round 60 per cent of the whole revenue. The declared dividend coverage suggests paying 25-30 per cent of the consolidated revenue or 33 per cent of the standalone revenue, whichever is increased.

Edelweiss mentioned Goenka has been an excellent MD and has addressed the considerations of most traders. He was seen as a person centered on core enterprise as he exited loss-making channels like sports activities, launched profitable TV channels within the regional house and was aggressive in future channels – OTT.

“Administration tried to handle considerations by specializing in Sugarbox, quarterly disclosures about associated celebration transactions and key steadiness sheet numbers each quarter similar to stock, ZEE5 numbers. A current instance of insider buying and selling by IR head, Though there was a private situation, a destructive one,” it mentioned.

analyst view
Edelweiss mentioned the inventory is prone to stay risky given management uncertainty and media disruption, however believes company governance requirements on the agency will enhance in the long term.

The brokerage mentioned, “We anticipate a powerful restoration in advert spend within the business with a pick-up in advertising and marketing by FMCG firms for the upcoming festive interval. Enchancment in dynamics ought to assist advert spend throughout sectors as we transfer into H2FY22.” Let’s transfer on,” the brokerage mentioned.

Kotak Securities mentioned the flip of occasions is prone to put an finish to governance considerations, enhance money technology and a attainable change in administration. Kotak mentioned the distinction between Zee’s market worth and intrinsic worth must be small, even when the state of affairs develops and the honest worth for the inventory is pegged at Rs 250.



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